TS EN 61710
Power law model - Goodness-of-fit tests and estimation methods
IEC 61710:2013 specifies procedures to estimate the parameters of the power law model, to provide confidence intervals for the failure intensity, to provide prediction intervals for the times to future failures, and to test the goodness-of-fit of the power law model to data from repairable items. It is assumed that the time to failure data have been collected from an item, or some identical items operating under the same conditions (e.g. environment and load). This second edition cancels and replaces the first edition, published in 2000, and constitutes a technical revision. The main changes with respect to the previous edition are listed below: the inclusion of an additional Annex C on Bayesian estimation for the power law model. Keywords: power law model, Bayesian estimation, reliability of repairable items
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- Language: English
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About This Item
TS EN 61710 focuses on using the power law model for failure-time data collected from repairable items. The standard specifies procedures for estimating model parameters, forming confidence intervals for failure intensity, deriving prediction intervals for times to future failures, and testing how well the power law model fits the observed data. In practice, this makes it a statistical framework for analysing how repairable systems change over successive failures.
What the power law model means in reliability work
In reliability engineering, the power law model is commonly used to describe whether the failure process of a repairable item is intensifying, flattening, or remaining roughly steady over time. The key idea is not just counting failures, but modelling the timing between them and the trend those timings follow. This helps distinguish random event sequences from systematic deterioration or improvement after repair.
Technical scope of this standard
- It assumes failure-time data are collected from one item, or from identical items operating under the same conditions.
- It provides procedures for estimating the parameters of the power law model.
- It addresses confidence intervals for failure intensity.
- It covers prediction intervals for the times to future failures.
- It includes goodness-of-fit testing for the power law model.
- As a revision, it adds Annex C on Bayesian estimation for the power law model.
As general technical context, these methods are useful in maintenance planning, spare-parts strategy, and reliability-growth studies. The standard itself does not prescribe performance targets for equipment; it provides a common statistical basis for drawing consistent conclusions from observed failure data.
- Publication Date: 13.02.2014
- Standard Status: U (Yürürlükteki Standard/Standard)
- Publisher: TSE
- Document Language: en
- ICS Classification: 03.120.01 Kalite (Genel) ; 03.120.30 İstatistiksel Metotların Uygulanması
- Pages: 123
- Source Standard: EN 61710:2013
- International Equivalents: EN 61710-EQV; IEC 61710-EQV
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